Bob Rae Thinks You’re Stupid

This is my first video blog entry.  Well, if you count “Bye Bye Barlow” it’s actually my second.  Either way, here it is.

There are a few technical things I’m still not entirely happy with, but after a week of messing around, it’s time to publish it anyway.

Mucking Around with Electoral Reform

With the re-election of Stephen Harper‘s Conservatives to Parliament with a majority of the seats in the House of Commons, a large number of calls for electoral reform are being raised. The old, tired, and inaccurate arguments of “60% of the voters voted against Stephen Harper” are being raised, yet again.

I too used a similar argument against Jean Chretien in 1993 and 1997. By 2000, I’d given up and was involved in other things, however at the beginning of my time of being involved with politics, I too was a champion of Proportional Representation.

The argument that “60% voted against” is fallacious, because by the same logic, 81% of the voters voted against Michael Ignatieff, 70% voted against Jack Layton, and 96% voted against Elizabeth May. Clearly, the argument itself is based on an incorrect premise – that people vote against, rather than for.

While it is true that Canadians tend to “vote out” a government rather than vote one in, a vote for Candidate X cannot be interpreted as a vote “against” Candidate Y. A vote is, by nature, always a positive action, because the vote is TO put someone in the House of Commons.

I have since realized that in our political system, we don’t elect our government, we elect our Parliament, or Legislature. The Prime Minister is appointed by the Queen and then, on the Prime Minister’s advice, the Queen appoints the government.

The House of Commons is rep-by-pop, meaning that the Members of Parliament are elected from geographic regions of varying size, but similar population. (In reality, this isn’t entirely true, but that’s the ideal.) The Senate is based on regional representation. Ideally, the Senate should be equal provincial representation, however instead, right now, Ontario, Quebec, The Maritimes, and the Western Provinces each receive 24 Senators, while Newfoundland and Labrador receives 6 Senators, the Northwest Territories, Yukon Territory, and Nunavut receive 1 senator each.

Many individuals argue in that PR elects a legislature that more accurately reflcts the true wishes of the population. That’s partially accurate - if the legislature wasn’t rep-by-pop. The fact is for a country the size of, say Germany, or Luxembourg, then yes, PR might work, but for a country as vast and diverse as Canada, some form of geographic recognition needs to remain, otherwise we could end up with representation for only certain, select areas where the concentration of votes come from.

A number of PR systems are used around the world. Some use party lists, others use a hybrid FPTP/Party lists sytem. Others use a party list or voter-choice system, and others employ single, or multi-member constituencies with either an Alternative Vote (AV) or Single Transferrable Vote (STV) system.

The party list system is probably the simplest PR system around. The voter selects the party they’re voting for, and once the votes are counted, seats are alloted based on how many votes each party received as a percentage of the total. In this system, the Conservatives would have received 40% of the seats in the House of Commons, or 122. The NDP would have received 31% of the seats, or 94. The Liberals would have received 58, the Bloc 18, The Green Party 12, 1 Christian Heritage, 1 Marxist-Leninist, 1 PC Party, and 1 Rhino Party.

The problem with a party list system is the party, not the voter, chooses who the representatives will be. This can lead to cronyism and corruption, because the party can reward its members for loyalty by placing their names higher up on the list. Additionally, the voter is simply choosing, under this system, a “Trained Seal” as there is no real connection between the MP and the voter other than a name on a list supplied by the political party. We are seeing some of the consequences of this kind of voting right now with the results of our current system in Quebec; where people like Ruth Ellen Brosseau ended up (amusingly) elected to Parliament.

Hybrid FPTP/Party list systems have the voter choosing a member for their local constituency just as we do now, but only for a portion of the members in the House. The remainder of the House is chosen from party lists in a manner designed to bring the representation in line with PR. This system is somewhat improved, because at least the voter chooses a representative through a direct election, however there is still the risk of cronyism and corruption by use of the party lists.

One way to resolve the issue is to break the country down into multi-member constituencies, and then have the PR system applied to the constituency rather than the legislative assembly as a whole. Such a system can produce an approximation of PR. Members can be elected from party lists, a hybrid system as described above, or, perhaps, as some countries do, the voter is given a ballot with the party list printed on the ballot. The voter can then chose to accept the party’s list as-is, or, alternatively, can rank the candidates in any order they wish. The result being that the list is produced through an election, the voters choose the order of the list, and then seats are filled. That system can get cumbersome, confusing, and counting can become time consuming.

Another option for multi-member constituencies is the Single Transferrable Vote. In this system, the voter will rank the candidates in order of preference. The number sequence must start with 1 and must be unbroken (1,3,4 is invalid), but the voter may rank as many candidates as they wish. When the ballots are counted, a “Droop quota” is determined, which is one, plus the total number of votes divided by one plus the number of seats. 1+( (valid votes)/(seats+1) ). The Droop Quota is always truncated to the nearest whole number. Any candidate receiving more than the Droop Quota is deemed elected, and their extra votes (that is, votes exceeding the quota) are then shared amongst the other candidates, often pro-rated based upon the differential between the votes used to meet the Droop Quota and the number of votes the candidate actually received. If nobody reaches the Droop Quota on a round of counting, the last-placed candidate is eliminated, and their supporters’ second-place rankings are shared out amongst the remaining candidates and process is repeated until all the seats have been filled. If there is only one seat, then the Droop Quota simply becomes 50% of the ballots+1.

STV is quite complex and difficult to understand. It is time consuming and cumbersome to implement. This was the proposed system rejected in a referendum by BC residents recently.

A simpler alternative to STV is the Alternative Vote. It works well for multi-member constituencies, as well as for single-member constituencies. The voter ranks the candidates in order of preference with the same conditions applied as with STV above, however the process of electing candidates is far simpler. AV is akin to the method in which most political parties choose their leaders, except instead of multiple ballots, only one ballot is needed. When the votes are counted, the last-placed candidate is dropped and their second-placed rankings are shared out amongst the remaining candidates. The process is repeated until the number of seats and number of candidates remaining is equal. In a one-member constituency, this system ensures the winner receives a true majority of support, while simplifying the counting process quite drastically from STV.

If Canada were to consider a switch to PR, personally, I prefer AV with single-member constituencies, the switch is an easy one to make, simple, and understandable.

However, I do not believe a switch to PR would solve the problems Canadians have with the political system, because we would still be electing a House of Commons charged with an acramonious and partisan atmosphere. PR systems also tend not to produce majority governments, so without major changes to the system of forming a government (gaining and holding the Confidence of the House, etc) we would likely be having elections every 18 months to two years.

Changing how the business of the House is carried out is much easier to do than change how our Members of Parliament are elected. These changes can include reducing partisanship, free votes, ratifying the Cabinet by supermajority, and electing Senators to a EEE senate.

Partisanship can easily be reduced. Members of Parliament are elected to represent their constituency in the House of Commons. Too often this has been reversed - and the MP ends up representing their party to the constituency. MPs are not paid or employed by the party or caucus to which they belong, but by the taxpayers in their riding. A quality MP will have a good sense of the attitude of their constituents, and will work to represent their constituents in the best capacity they can.

Free votes also reduce partisanship and increase an MP’s ability to represent their constituents in the House. If a bill is presented to the House of Commons (excluding the budget, the failure of which could immediately trigger an election), then it should be left to pass – or fail – on its own merit. Each MP should read and research the bill and then vote accordingly. MPs have, in the past, got lazy, and simply voted as directed by their party’s leadership. Again, the MP doesn’t work for the party, the MP works for the constituents.

Constitutionally, nothing says a Cabinet Minister or the Prime Minister must be sitting MPs. Let the Legislature do its job in passing legislation, and let the Cabinet Ministers do their jobs in managing the various departments of government. Cabinet Ministers (whether they’re MPs or not) could easily be ratified by a 2/3 majority of the House of Commons, and then the Prime Minister can take the will of the House to the Queen so she can appoint a Cabinet Minister. This ensures Cabinet is approved by the House of Commons rather than appointed as patronage positions by the Prime Minister. It would ensure that the best person for the job gets the job, and the quality of government would likely improve.

Lastly, changing the Senate to equal representation from each province, elected, and “effective” would be a major improvement as well. Equal provincial representation provides a check and balance on the rep-by-pop House of Commons. Too often, the House of Commons caters to areas where the votes are concentrated; and it’s understandable, because the MPs want to be re-elected at the end of their term! However, sadly, too often as well, legislation benefits one highly populated area of the country to the detriment of another, such as the NEP, Stephane Dion’s proposed Green Shaft Shift or the proposed Cap-And-Trade system which came out during this last campaign. A senate where each province has equal representation balances things out and can stop harmful legislation from becoming law.

An elected senate builds upon the base of an equal senate, because an appointed chamber becomes the personal puppet of the current Prime Minister. Brian Mulroney, to get the GST passed, actually increased the number of senators, and then asked the Queen to appoint enough senators to ensure the GST was approved by the senate. This, despite the quality of the GST, was a gross abuse of the Prime Minister’s power, and has all but completely destroyed the Senate’s credibility. Stephen Harper has, yes, asked the Queen to appoint a number of Senators, which does seem to contradict several statements he has made in the past, however to reform the Senate, the reforms must be approved by the Senate, and until the Senate is made up of people who want to reform it, the changes will never happen.

It think that the changes I’ve outlined above are a far better way to improve the system than tinkering with how we elect our Members of Parliament. We need to remember that we do NOT elect our government, we elect our legislature, which is made up of individual representatives from across the nation. A general election is not one big election, but, in fact, 308 individual elections.

I suppose we could consider switching to the AV system as I outlined above, however implementing the other simple changes I’ve outlined is far easier and far more effective. FPTP may have its flaws, but it is simple, easy to understand, and, quite frankly, good enough.

What’s next for the Conservatives

Now that the campaign is over – and what a roller coaster of a campaign it was, full of ups, downs, lefts, rights, uprisings, and happy endings!

Now that it’s over, and we finally have stability for four years, it’s time, I think, to express my opinion on how Stephen Harper should conduct the next Parliament to govern well from a position of power.

In general, the problem with majority governments is they’re essentially elected dictatorships. (Note to my critics, yes, I’m saying the “D” word – but note that it’s not about Stephen Harper, it’s about the government in general. Chretien was far worse than Harper in the dictator department anyway.) The Prime Minister’s can decide upon any legislation he wants, and, since he controls the votes in the House of Commons through his party Whip. it’s very easy to get that legislation passed.

So the first thing I would want to see Harper do as Prime Minister is declare every bill other than the budget to be a free vote. The House of Commons, as the legislature for the nation, is supposed to represent us – the voters. We elect our MP to act on our behalf, not only as an interface point between the constituent and the Minister of whatever department, but also in the House of Commons itself, debating and voting on our behalf.

If a bill should become law in the House of Commons, it should pass on its own merits. Obviously, with a majority of Conservative MPs, it should be easier for a Conservative Prime Minister to pass a Conservative bill, however at the same time, if I could trust that my MP would think for himself rather than be whipped into submission, I would be much happier.

Second: End the $2/vote subsidy. Now. Not tomorrow, not next week, but now. Kill it; but change nothing else.

Third: Kill the gun registry.

Fourth: Kill the wheat board.

That is all.

Something Nobody is Talking About #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41

I’m just throwing this out there, because, based on what Stephen Harper has been saying, as of right now, it seems fairly unlikely, however elections can cause strange things to happen.

Michael Ignatieff and Stephen Harper agree on little. But it does seem that Ignatieff and Harper DO agree that a government headed by Jack Layton would be disastrous for Canada.

Consider a scenario where, as I have previously posted, Parliament returns with the NDP around 100 seats, The Conservatives at around 145, the BQ at 15, and the Liberals sitting around the 48 seat mark.

Obviously, Michael Ignatieff will be gone as Leader of the Liberals, and someone will be chosen to take his place. I can see in this scenario a – yes, I’m going to say it, and I’m choking as I do – some sort of informal “agreement” forming. Not between the Liberals and NDP, but – here it comes – between the Conservatives and the Liberals. Maybe not a spoken one; maybe not even an announced agreement, but a simple agreement that with a few small changes to the budget, the Liberal caucus would agree to support the throne speech and budget, keeping Stephen Harper in the PMO as the lesser – from the Liberals’ viewpoint – of two evils.

#CPC in Majority Territory (Prediction, #Nanos, April 27, 2011) #CPC 162 #NDP 92 #LPC 38 #BQ 16

The numbers in the title of this page say it all.  The Conservatives seem set for a majority government; however things can still change – especially since Nanos’ does a three-day rolling poll, dropping the oldest data with each day’s release.

The Conservatives currently could win between 159 and 205 seats,
Next is the NDP who, amusingly have either the potential of being wiped out at 7 seats or cruising to Official Opposition at 94 seats.
The Liberals are in deep trouble.  While their seat spread is much smaller, Michael Ignatieff has the potential of leading the Liberal Party to their worst defeat in history: anywhere between 38 and 51 seats – worse even than John Turner did in 1984, when Turner won 40 seats.
The Bloc Quebecois can win anywhere between 16 and 45 seats.

The volatility and high spread in seat counts is caused by the poll’s margin of error in Quebec.  The poll has the NDP at 36.5% and the Bloc Quebecois at 27.4%, however the sample size means a margin of error of 6.3%, which puts numerous seats into play.

#LPC in danger of decimation. #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41 #CPC 147 #NDP 100 #LPC 44 #BQ 17 (Angus Reid Poll)

The latest Angus Reid poll released today shows some interesting numbers:

Conservative: 147 (anywhere from 146-184)
New Democrats: 99 (anywhere from 10-99)
Liberal: 44 (anywhere from 44-68)
Bloc Quebecois: 17 (anywhere from 17-46)

While looking at the actual polled numbers it appears like a Conservative minority again, we do see that the Liberal+NDP numbers are not sufficient, in and of themselves, to bypass the Conservative plurality; which means they’d need to rely on the Bloc Quebecois for support to put Jack Layton into 24 Sussex Drive.  First, it is highly unlikely that Michael Ignatieff would be able to stomach that idea, and second, the Canadian public would never accept a coalition – formal or informal – with the Bloc.

The numbers are very positive for the Conservative party.  Despite polling 35%, the concentration of NDP support is in Quebec, at the expense of all other parties.  This pulls down the national support figure for the Conservatives, and pulls up the same figure for the NDP.

Excluding Quebec, you see some startling changes (and, because I don’t have sample sizes for each province, this is a rough estimate based on an extrapolation, and the numbers do NOT add up):

Conservative: 42
New Democrats: 28
Liberal: 25

This is a more accurate glimpse of what’s going on in Canada, when you take out the NDP surge in Quebec.

I can’t imagine how Michael Ignatieff can sleep at night, knowing he’s made the biggest blunder of his (abbreviated) political career.

Prediction: #ekos April 25. #CPC 144, #NDP 108, #LPC 53, #BQ 3 #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41

In the same vein as my last prediction, put out this morning from the data supplied by Nanos Research, here is one based on the data supplied by the most recent Ekos poll, also released today:

Conservative: 144
NDP: 108
Liberal: 53
Bloc Quebecois: 3

Ekos is an interesting firm.  Their results are always very low for the Conservatives and high for other parties.  They had similar issues during the 2008 campaign.  Their methodology uses a recorded message over the phone (both to landlines and cell phones) where the participant is not required to talk to a person.  Given the results are very far off from the other polling firms, and given they off by 3% in 2008, whereas Ipsos Reid and Angus Reid, both with much smaller sample sizes were far closer, this leads me to believe that Ekos’ methodology has a flaw in it somewhere.

Prediction (#nanos, April 25, 2011): #CPC 166 #LPC 50 #BQ 47 #NDP 45 #elxn41 #cdnpoli #polls41

The title of this blog appears on Twitter, so I have tagged it with the appropriate hashtags to ensure that it gets placed correctly.  Unless you are a Twitter user, it won’t make much sense to you (like when Jack Layton said “Hashtag Fail” at the leaders’ debate) but for those of you who do follower Twitter, you’ll get it.

Throughout the election campaign, I have been monitoring the polls and posting seat predictions to Twitter.  These have bounced all over the place as the polls have moved, which has made the campaign a bit of an emotional roller coaster.

Things are, in a nutshell, getting very interesting.

Nanos Research released their latest daily tracking poll this morning, so I fed the data into my seat predictor and this is what I came up with.  Remember a Parliamentary majority requires 155 seats:

Conservative 166
Liberal: 50
Bloc Quebecois: 47
NDP: 45

When I factor the margin of error into my calculations, we get a spread of seats which each party is likely to win.  I prefer to use the spread rather than a definite number because polls, and specifically seat predictions, are notoriously volatile:

Conservative: 160-196
Liberal: 50-64
Bloc Quebecois: 47-48
NDP: 0-48

My methodology is fairly simple, and is based on a number of assumptions:

(a) That the same number of people will vote in this election as voted last time.
(b) That party support is uniformly spread across the geographic regions published by the polling firm.
(c) That party support is not affected by local demographics, such as ethnicity, faith, or other facts which drive votes one way or another.
(d) Independent candidates are not considered.

The calculation process involves breaking the country down into geographic areas similar to those used by the polling firm in their data gathering, and working out the party support in that particular area as a percentage.  Then, the change in support from last time is applied on a riding-by-riding basis.  A new winner is then calculated.

On a national scale, and, to a lesser extent, a provincial scale, this is fairly accurate.  I ran models during the campaigns of 2000, 2004, 2006, 2008 and each time, I was reasonably close at a national level, however it can not – and does not – come close to predicting individual riding results.

Things are looking very well for the Conservatives, who are in clear majority territory now.  Michael Ignatieff’s political career is pretty much over, Jack Layton, if the trends continue, may just become leader of the Official Opposition, and Gilles Duceppe seems to be on track to retirement.

Coalition – Yes, No, Well maybe, If Necessary but Not Necessarily, Yes Maybe No, and No again.

The campaign has not started well for Michael Ignatieff.  Yesterday, just after the confidence vote in the House of Commons, Ignatieff came bustling out through the doors into the glare of the television lights prepared for his interview.

The first questions right off the start were regarding whether he would enter into a Parliamentary coalition with the Bloc Quebecois and NDP should the May 2 election result in yet another Minority Parliament as happened in 2004, 2006, and 2008.

Ignatieff danced.  He dodged.  He weaved.  He equivocated.  He did anything he possibly could to avoid actually answering the question:

A quick history lesson: towards the end of 2008, in a brazen case of political opportunism, the Liberals, NDP, and Bloc Quebecois decided they didn’t like the results of the last election, and realized that, in our Parliamentary democracy, by working together – they thought – they could usurp power from the party that Canadians sent into Parliament to govern.

I have posted earlier that Canadians don’t elect their government; and that is still true.  Canadians elect their legislature, and the various members of that Legislature form Parliamentary coalitions within that legislative assembly – they’re called “Caucuses.”  When we elect our MPs, we know, by nature of the party to which they belong, which Caucus they will be sitting with once Parliament returns to session.

Sometimes – and this is perfectly legal and legitimate – some caucuses agree to work together and form what is known as a Parliamentary Coalition.  From the point of view of Parliament, there is no party affiliation, just caucus membership, with a label attached to that caucus for reference purposes.

That is all well and good; because the voters know, at the time of an election, what caucus their candidates will be joining.  Floor-crossing (joining a different caucus) is legitimate, but it is frowned-upon by the Canadian voters.  Members who cross the floor are very rarely re-elected.

In 2008, had the Liberals, NDP, and Bloc decided to campaign on a platform of forming a Parliamentary coalition, what they tried to do towards the end of that year would have been reasonable, since Canadians would have known it was coming, however, in the campaign of 2008, Michael Ignatieff said this:

In the election campaign of 2008, Ignatieff ruled out the idea of a coalition:

“‘Wake up, there’s no coalition with Jack Layton,’ he said. ” (click here for reference)

Later, he signed on to the coalition:

This morning, once again, he ruled out a coalition.  Again, with this tweet:

M_Ignatieff
A Liberal government will not enter into a coalition with other federalist parties http://lpc.ca/bue #cdnpoli #elxn41 #lpc
11-03-26 7:12 AM

In an arrogant and condescendingly-titled press release, Ignatieff lectures us on “The Rules of our Democracy.” In it, he rules out a formal Parliamentary coalition, explaining that he would work on an issue-by-issue basis with other parties to get legislation passed.

Which leads me to a number of points:

  1. Michael Ignatieff has changed is mind on a coalition so many times, how do we know he won’t change it again?
  2. Since Michael Ignatieff ruled out a coalition in 2008, and then signed on to one, we clearly can’t trust what he is saying about it now.
  3. Taking his comments at face value for a moment – and I want to be clear that I don’t trust his statement at all – supposing he’s telling the truth and really, truly is ruling out a coalition, then why the hell are we now in an election campaign?! Let’s look at the facts here:  At dissolution, the Liberals held 77 to the Conservatives’ 143, and a Parliamentary majority is 155 seats.  To pass the Conservatives and form the largest caucus in the House, the Liberals would have to gain 34 seats from the Conservatives, and MORE than that if they pick seats up from the NDP or Bloc while the Conservatives retain theirs.  Given the state of the polls, where the Conservatives seem to enjoy a very large lead, accomplishing that kind of a result would require three things to happen:
    1. Ignatieff and the Liberals running an absolutely PERFECT campaign.No campaign is ever perfect, however.  Ignatieff has already experienced his first gaffe, after all – before the campaign even began when he dodged and danced around the coalition question yesterday.
    2. Harper and the Conservatives running a disastrous campaign.In the year 2000, Stockwell Day and the Canadian Alliance ran, what many consider to be a disastrous campaign, and Day STILL managed to win 25% of the popular vote and raise his seat count from 60 (out of the old Reform Party) to 66.  Simply put the hope of passing the Conservatives in terms of caucus size is slim at best, none at most likely.
    3. The Liberals having an issue which actually galvanizes and engages Canadians.  The Liberals seem to be running on a platform of:
      1. Harper Bad; Ignatieff Good.Whoopie!  You know what Joe Lunchbucket Canadian says about politicians?  (I have had this said to me time and time again myself)  ”They’re all the same, and they’re all as bad as each other.”
      2. Conservatives are unethical; Liberals aren’t.Joe Lunchbucket Canadian shrugs his shoulders and says, “sure.  They’re ALL unethical.”  The “scandals” the Liberals are tying to pin on the Conservatives aren’t resonating with Canadians.  First, because Canadians, by and large, don’t give a rodent’s rectum (sorry, Menzoid) about Parliamentary procedure, and second, because on the scale of scandal, these just aren’t even on the radar screen for most Canadians.
      3. We don’t like the military or the justice system.Obviously, those are my words, not the words of the Liberal Party, which prefer to use the term “jets and jails” as if alliteration makes it “cool” or something.  Obviously alliterative terms will be remembered easily, however I think Canadians, by and large, won’t bite on this issue either.  The issues I think most Canadians are worried about are economic issues – ensuring they have a job next week, and are able to make their mortgage payments, buy food and clothing, and send their kids to daycare.  When it comes to “jets and jails” most Canadians likely think, “well, we need to defend our country, and we need to put dangerous people somewhere where they’ll be kept away from my kids.”

So, without an issue to galvanize Canadians, the Liberals have, well, nothing.  Parliamentary “pseudo-scandals” and witch hunts in an obscure committee which votes along party lines to recommend Parliament find the government in contempt (and then have a non-Confidence motion prior to the government actually being formally held in contempt) is a pretty weak reason to force an election.

All this leads us to one possible conclusion:

Michael Ignatieff has forced this election simply because he wants to be Prime Minister.

Either he knows he can’t expect Canadians to engage with a platform built on “ethics”, “contempt”, and “jets and jails”, and thus he can’t expect to win the election by passing the Conservatives in terms of seat count.  So, he is planning a formal Parliamentary coalition or a formal cooperation agreement with the NDP and the Bloc.  Now, of course, he is denying it during the campaign.  This means he has a hidden agenda; or

Or, he thinks he actually can defeat Harper on issues that Canadians aren’t engaging in.  Perhaps he believes, as most Liberals seem to believe, that having the Liberals running government is the Way Things Are Done in Canada, and that it’s only an aberration that the Conservatives are in power right now.  If only the voters would see the world the way Michael Ignatieff sees it, they would flock to him in droves and propel him into the Prime Minister’s Office.

Either way, this election, as the Conservatives say, is Michael Ignatieff’s election.  He wants to be Prime Minister, and, by golly, he will force an unneeded and unwanted election to do it.

It’s all about him.  He didn’t come back for you.

Lies the Liberals Tell us About Canadian Demcracy

It’s been a while since I’ve posted anything to this blog, and the reason for that is simple: Unlike many social activists, I actually work for a living. Most conservatives do; which is why you always see public rallies and demonstrations by left wingnuts and not conservatives (usually).

The Liberals and their supporters, in a shameful and desperate (yet futile, if you look at the polls) attempt to deceive Canadians into believing that Stephen Harper is the Antichrist, are spreading a number of lies. Let’s examine some of them:

Lie #1: Jean Chretien had a mandate from the people. Stephen Harper does not.

By some twisted logic, the person telling this first lie wants us to believe that because Jean Chretien controlled a majority in the House of Commons, he, somehow, had a mandate from the people to govern, and, as such, because Harper does not control a majority, he does not.

It’s rubbish, of course. No Prime Minister receives a mandate from the people. 308 Members of Parliament receive a mandate from the people of 308 individual ridings to represent them in Parliament. Nothing more, nothing less.

The Prime Minister is appointed by the Governor-General, acting in the name of Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II, and is selected as the person most likely to be able to hold the confidence of the House of Commons. As long as the Queen (represented by the Governor-General here in Canada) wants Harper to remain Prime Minister, and as long as Harper maintains the confidence of the House of Commons, he is Prime Minister. Harper can lose the confidence of the House through having the budget defeated, or by a direct, concise motion of non-confidence. At which point, he must resign, or ask the Queen (again, through the Governor-General) for an election.

Lie #2: The Canadian Public Elects the Prime Minister

As I pointed out in Lie #1, the Queen appoints the Prime Minister, and, in fact, the government as a whole. The government is Cabinet, not the House of Commons, and, in fact, the Prime Minister is only mentioned once – and even then in passing – and nowhere in the British North America Act, nor anywhere in the constitution of the United Kingdom, is the Prime Minister even mentioned! The Position of the Prime Minister does not officially exist.

In practical terms, the Prime Minister is a role of convenience for the Monarch. Our democracy is based upon laws and governance by individuals delegated by the public, and summoned to Parliament by the Monarch. (Which is why the Queen opens Parliament, and Prorogues it.) An election isn’t to choose the Prime Minister, but to advise the Queen on who the people of each constituency want to represent them. When the Queen opens Parliament, she calls 308 individuals to the House of Commons to form Parliament, and asks someone – and not necessarily a Member of Parliament either – to become Prime Minister. The convenience for her in this case is the Prime Minister can then advise her on who to appoint to Cabinet and run the various departments of government in her name.

In our democratic system, obviously, by convention, the Queen will appoint a party leader to become Prime Minister, and the Prime Minister will then advise her to appoint members of the Prime Minister’s own party’s caucus to form Cabinet, but in both cases, nothing says that must be the case.

Lie #3: Stephen Harper has Attacked Democracy

This is one of the most hyperbolic and ridiculous lies the Liberals are telling us. Their “evidence” is because Harper “prorogued Parliament” twice in a year. First of all, as I showed in #2, Harper can’t prorogue Parliament. The Queen prorogues and summons Parliament. Second, the Prime Minister isn’t elected by the people, but appointed by the Queen. The people advise the Queen – through an election – on who they want her to call to Parliament to represent them. That there – the election of Parliament – is our democracy, and last time I checked, our democratic institution of electing our MPs has not been endangered in any way, shape or form.

Lie #4: Stephen Harper is a Bully

Besides being an infantile insult, it is untrue. Harper does not have absolute power in the House of Commons, simply because he does not have a majority, and even if he did have a majority, he is accountable to Parliament, not the other way around. If things get bad enough, even a majority Parliament could pass a non confidence motion against him.

The real issue here is Harper is acting like a leader. He is making decisions, submitting an agenda to Parliament for approval, and getting it approved. If Parliament doesn’t like his agenda, or any particular component of it, Parliament can vote against it. That’s the way things work.

These four of the big lies the Liberals keep telling us. Hopefully it’s helped you see the truth through the myth. Remember, the real story – and no Liberal will ever admit to it – is Liberals believe they have a divine right to govern Canada – they call themselves “Canada’s Natural Governing Party” after all, and also have a very low opinion of the intelligence of the Canadian population. (Remember the Beer and Popcorn comment by a Liberal during the 2005/2006 election campaign?) They simply can’t understand the fact that Canadians have decided to go down a road different than the road the Liberals would take us down, and it frustrates them.

Of course, when one holds an incorrect ideology like the Liberals, once can see how it would frustrate and annoy them.

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